Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 54.850173 62.721670 70.812008 79.713758 89.199678 98.974736 109.778288
2026-01-11 42.439476 53.567032 65.580756 79.368431 94.618661 110.849344 129.312486
2026-01-18 34.865651 47.635237 61.955689 78.899731 98.125516 119.023423 143.229481
2026-01-25 29.622306 43.557404 59.727450 79.363939 102.114392 127.258920 156.791038
2026-02-01 24.871196 39.442446 56.935819 78.710593 104.424865 133.269289 167.558065
2026-02-08 21.232023 36.264601 54.905644 78.635722 107.133247 139.507817 178.384600
2026-02-15 17.798624 32.955259 52.402071 77.723734 108.634336 144.177191 187.264720
2026-02-22 15.693225 31.190535 51.659926 78.809123 112.383489 151.353356 198.938755
2026-03-01 13.997492 29.806463 51.268521 80.216738 116.431493 158.812477 210.887781
2026-03-08 11.684143 27.247824 49.129751 79.258373 117.473148 162.627612 218.514418
2026-03-15 9.462221 24.536614 46.579472 77.605867 117.527653 165.164886 224.556017
2026-03-22 8.935668 24.496785 47.709206 80.735669 123.523345 174.817373 238.985504
2026-03-29 8.003443 23.684893 47.708879 82.372281 127.676449 182.306665 250.941141
2026-04-05 6.624715 21.897728 46.181161 81.882848 129.084010 186.435117 258.883837
2026-04-12 5.436742 20.259575 44.750135 81.430939 130.468132 190.481279 266.684640
2026-04-19 4.593953 19.147996 44.032337 81.898745 132.992907 195.896274 276.106650
2026-04-26 3.647619 17.621614 42.559747 81.234780 133.989700 199.384913 283.175512
2026-05-03 2.933316 16.441628 41.548202 81.158446 135.710246 203.738942 291.267758
2026-05-10 2.201435 14.998290 39.995865 80.230434 136.250760 206.581968 297.493954
2026-05-17 1.839027 14.429374 39.864445 81.334912 139.476426 212.778118 307.802918
2026-05-24 1.558874 14.017266 39.969510 82.767114 143.130294 219.508771 318.766469
2026-05-31 1.079681 12.755801 38.492299 81.792031 143.499207 222.062310 324.586885
2026-06-07 0.650406 11.335510 36.601011 80.110483 142.849223 223.279602 328.728576